SportsOddsas of Jul 21, 03:00 UTC

Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereira

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 21, 2026Total volume $5K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Gonzalo Bueno

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0Best odds

The largest on-chain prediction market

Gonzalo Bueno74%no entry fee

Volume$649

Min · feesNone · No trading

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Matchbook4.5

Low-commission betting exchange

Gonzalo Bueno75%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume€1

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

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Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Gonzalo Buenoafter fees76%75% price + 1.3% entry fee

Volume$4K

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

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SX Bet4.1

On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange

Gonzalo Bueno76%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume—

Min · feesNone · Small fee

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Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	MMatchbook4.5	Polymarket5.0	SX Bet4.1
Gonzalo Bueno	75%	75%	74%	76%
Tiago Pereira	26%	27%	27%	28%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.