SportsOddsas of Jul 15, 04:00 UTC

Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderi

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 15, 2026Total volume $5K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Daniel Altmaier

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Matchbook4.5Best odds

Low-commission betting exchange

Daniel Altmaier38%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume€24

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

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Polymarket5.0

The largest on-chain prediction market

Daniel Altmaier38%no entry fee

Volume$290

Min · feesNone · No trading

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SX Bet4.1

On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange

Daniel Altmaier40%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume—

Min · feesNone · Small fee

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Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Daniel Altmaierafter fees41%39% price + 1.7% entry fee

Volume$441

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

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Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	MMatchbook4.5	Polymarket5.0	SX Bet4.1
Daniel Altmaier	39%	38%	38%	40%
Luciano Darderi	63%	63%	63%	67%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.