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SportsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Oct 31, 2026Total volume $3.8M1 platform

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
60%64%67%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Harry Kane

Polymarket is the only platform still pricing this outcome, so there is no cross-platform best price to rank. The button is an affiliate link — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Harry Kane65%no entry fee
Volume$3.8M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

This is the effective price after the platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are the platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Implied probability from the one platform still pricing this event
OutcomePolymarket5.0
Harry Kane65%
Lamine Yamal15%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Rodri7%
Lionel Messi2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2%
Osmane Dembelé—
Ousmane Dembélé1%
Fabian Ruiz1%
Lautaro Martinez—
Erling Haaland0%
Jude Bellingham0%
Michael Olise0%
Vitinha0%
Cristiano Ronaldo—
Pau Cubarsi0%
Mohamed Salah0%
Vinícius Júnior0%
Pedri0%
Luis Diaz—
Cole Palmer0%
Bruno Fernandes—
Declan Rice0%
Federico Valverde0%
Desire Doue—
Julian Alvarez0%
Raphinha—
Achraf Hakimi—

These are raw implied probabilities. With only one platform pricing this event there is no lowest-price highlight and no cross-platform comparison to draw.

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