SportsOddsas of Jul 17, 05:00 UTC

Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 17, 2026Total volume $34K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Andrey Rublev

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Matchbook4.5Best odds

Low-commission betting exchange

Andrey Rublev62%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume€16

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

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Polymarket5.0

The largest on-chain prediction market

Andrey Rublev62%no entry fee

Volume$9K

Min · feesNone · No trading

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SX Bet4.1

On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange

Andrey Rublev63%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume—

Min · feesNone · Small fee

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Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Andrey Rublevafter fees65%63% price + 1.6% entry fee

Volume$25K

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

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Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	MMatchbook4.5	Polymarket5.0	SX Bet4.1
Andrey Rublev	63%	62%	62%	63%
Sebastian Baez	37%	39%	39%	41%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.