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This market has resolved. The prices below are the last we captured from each platform, kept here for reference. Browse the archive →
SportsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Alex Barrena

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Sep 1, 2026Total volume $280K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
No price history for this platform selection yet.Polymarket and Kalshi carry full lifetime history; others fill in as we capture daily snapshots.

Where to back Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
SX Bet4.1
On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange
Gilles Arnaud Bailly45%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume—
Min · feesNone · Small fee
Market closed
2
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Gilles Arnaud Bailly48%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€32
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Market closed
3
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Gilles Arnaud Baillyafter fees77%76% price + 1.3% entry fee
Volume$201K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
4
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Gilles Arnaud Bailly85%no entry fee
Volume$14K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0SX Bet4.1
Gilles Arnaud Bailly76%48%85%45%
Alex Barrena26%53%15%65%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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