Predictions Network
Showing the 2 platforms available in Hong Kong. See the global comparison →
SportsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Duarte vs Cacao

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
45%67%90%30 Aug

Where to back Tiago Cacao

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Tiago Cacaoafter fees99%99% price + 0.1% entry fee
Volume$63K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Tiago Cacao100%no entry fee
Volume$11K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Polymarket5.0
Rodrigo Duarte1%0%
Tiago Cacao99%100%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.