Economics Only on Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
53%
Implied probability · Fed maintains rate
$7.9M
Total volume
Sep 16, 2026
Resolution date
Price history
Implied probability on Kalshi · last 7 daysPrice history · Fed maintains rate
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What this market asked
Fed decision in Sep 2026? is priced at 53% on Kalshi, the market's view that fed maintains rate is the favourite. The market has $7.9M of volume behind it and resolves on Sep 16, 2026.
The full board
Implied probability for each outcome on Kalshi:
Fed maintains rate
53%
Hike 25bps
47%
Cut >25bps
1%
How it resolves
The market settles on Kalshi per its stated rules, with a close date of Sep 16, 2026. Prices are implied probabilities. They move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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