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SportsOddsas of Aug 30, 04:00 UTC

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Sep 13, 2026Total volume $996K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
LimitlessPolymarket
24%28%31%26 Aug27 Aug28 Aug29 Aug30 Aug

Where to back Carlos Alcaraz

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Carlos Alcaraz26%no entry fee
Volume$995K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
Carlos Alcaraz26%no entry fee
Volume$132
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeLimitless4.4Polymarket5.0
Jannik Sinner——
Carlos Alcaraz26%26%
Alexander Zverev23%23%
Novak Djokovic10%9%
Taylor Fritz—8%
Ben Shelton6%6%
Arthur Fils—7%
Felix Auger Aliassime—4%
Jakub Mensik—3%
Flavio Cobolli—3%
Daniil Medvedev—2%
Frances Tiafoe—2%
Lorenzo Musetti—1%
Jiri Lehecka—1%
Andrey Rublev—1%
Alexander Bublik—1%
Matteo Berrettini—0%
Hubert Hurkacz—0%
Grigor Dimitrov—0%
Jack Draper——
Holger Rune——
Joao Fonseca——

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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