CryptoOddsas of Jul 20, 04:00 UTC

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PRPriya Raman · Crypto & On-chain Analyst Resolves Jan 1, 2027Total volume $1.2M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

PascalPolymarket

Where to back $150M

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0Best odds

The largest on-chain prediction market

$150M71%no entry fee

Volume$448K

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Pascal4.2

Non-custodial order-book prediction markets on Solana

$150M72%no entry fee

Volume$1K

Min · feesNone · Order-book taker

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	PPascal4.2	Polymarket5.0
$150M	72%	71%
$300M	45%	46%
$500M	27%	27%
$800M	11%	11%
$1B	9%	10%
$3B	2%	2%
$2B	2%	2%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.