SportsOddsas of Jul 17, 14:20 UTC

Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 17, 2026Total volume $9553 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Liam Draxl

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Matchbook4.5Best odds

Low-commission betting exchange

Liam Draxl36%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume€0

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

Trade

Polymarket5.0

The largest on-chain prediction market

Liam Draxl37%no entry fee

Volume$362

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Liam Draxlafter fees40%38% price + 1.6% entry fee

Volume$593

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	MMatchbook4.5	Polymarket5.0
Liam Draxl	38%	36%	37%
Arthur Gea	65%	65%	64%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.